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N/n is just the sample mean, if we draw a sample of size n So we can use the Chebyshev inequality to estimate the chance that the sample mean is far from the true, population mean, which is the expectation Pr 1 S n n −EX ≥ = Pr(S n −nEX 1 ≥ n ) ≤ nVar(X 1) n2 2 ≤ Var(X 1) n 2 Observe that whatever is, the probability must go to zero like 1/n (or faster) So the probability.
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